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Posted on 19 July 2019

We recently took a look at the potential dangers of the transfer window when it comes to trading and holding players on Football Index. If you haven't done so already, you can check out the article in the link below.

In that article we looked at players who can see their value on Football Index dramatically reduced through links and subsequent transfers to clubs outside of the leagues eligible for Match Day dividends. Or worse still in the case of Arjen Robben, retire from the game altogether.

But there is of course a flip side to this with players currently plying their trade in places such as China, South America and other non-Match Day eligible leagues around Europe such as the Netherlands.

Let's take a look at some of those players who have been or are currently being linked with transfers to the Top 5 leagues in Europe and see how their valuations on Football Index have been effected. We'll also look at how the transfer of one player can positively effect others at existing Match Day dividend eligile clubs/leagues.

Yannick Carrasco

Perhaps the most high profile potential transfer that has been speculated about for some time is the return to Europe of Belgian midfielder Yannick Carrasco from China. Having made a somewhat surprise transfer from Atletico Madrid to current club Dalian Yifang back in 2018, Carrasco is now being linked with a move to high profile clubs such as Roma, Arsenal and Liverpool.

Traders have been speculatively buying into Carrasco over the past 6 months from his value of around 60p and reached a high point of £1.28 as more solid transfer rumours materialised. His price has since started to drop as the transfer news quietens down, but Carrasco is a great example of being ahead of the curve when it comes to looking at players who could soon become eligible for Match Day dividends.

Kieran Tierney

We don't have to look as far afield as China to find players who have benefitted from a potential transfer to a Top 5 league. Celtic defender Kieran Tierney appears to be near the top of Arsenal's shopping list this summer, with bids of £25m reportedly being tabled.

These rumours have seen Tierney's Football Index value catapult from 95p to over £1.40 in the past month.

Odion Ighalo / Cedric Bakambu

Let's now take a look at a couple of lower priced players who are once again currently playing for Chinese Super League clubs.

Odion Ighalo made abig money move from Watford to Changchun Yatai in 2017 and has since moved to Shanghai Shenhua. During the last transfer window in January, Ighalo was linked to a host of clubs in Europe ranging from Barcelona to Southampton. Whilst a move never materialised, it did she his price boom from 10p to over 30p. Since then he has fluctuated between 15-27p as traders consider further potential transfer rumours.

A player of similar calibre is Cedric Bakambu. Having made the move to CSL team Beijing Guoan in 2018 his price has remained fairly steady around 20-30p range on Football Index. As a player with a healthy goalscoring record in Spain, any chance of a return to even a mid-table club in the top 5 leagues would result in a similar price boost to that we saw happen to Ighalo back in January.

Bruno Fernandes

One of the potential big money deals that could still take place this summer involves Sporting midfielder Bruno Fernandes. Having had strong links to both Manchester clubs and Spurs, traders have been buying Fernandes in their droves.

Being an already high priced player at around £2.00 several months ago, he has so far reached a peak value of £2.78. However this trade also has a few extra points worth taking note of. During that peak price period, Fernandes was most strongly linked with Manchester United. As anyone who has been on the Index even a short time knows that United are kings when it comes to Media. A move to rivals City or Tottenham actually devalues Fernandes in the eyes of traders and thus we've seen a steady drop over recent weeks. It's important to keep track of transfer news involving players in your portfolio and assess accordingly as fresh news is released.

Kyle Walker-Peters / Serge Aurier

Finally, let's take a look at a couple of players who have benefitted very recently from a player being transferred. Reports emerged on Tuesday 16 July that Tottenham right back Kieran Trippier was on the verge of joining Atletico Madrid.

With Spurs not appearing to have any direct replacement lined up, many traders have spotted a potential opportunity by buying Kyle Walker-Peters and Serge Aurier. As the two recognised right backs already at the club, it makes sense that both may see more time on the pitch this coming season. In the case of Walker-Peters a fairly steady price of 65p has jumped to 79p. Meanwhile Aurier has seen a jump from 30p to a high of 45p before dropping back to a current price of 38p.

So as we can see, whilst there are always potential dangers during a transfer window, there are also plenty of opportunities too. The important thing to always keep in mind when buying a player purely on transfer speculation, is to keep up to date with the latest news. Circumstances can change very quickly and with it so too a players value on Football Index.


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